Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLens to win ✓58% · @1.54
Double chanceLens or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Lens vs Toulouse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lens welcome Toulouse to Stade Bollaert-Delelis for a Coupe De France fixture on Tuesday 21 April (20:10 WAT).
Current form
Lens, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Toulouse, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Toulouse, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lens, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Lens, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Toulouse.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Lens 3–2 Toulouse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 2.1 xG, Toulouse 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 58%, draw 22%, Toulouse 20%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 2–1 Toulouse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens58%fair 1.73 · @1.54
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.00
Toulouse20%fair 4.91 · @5.80
3.39Expected goals
2.06Lens xG
1.33Toulouse xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lens 2.1 – 1.3 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lens
Toulouse
Attack vs Coupe De France average
+17%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.53
Our own ratings from every Coupe De France result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lens vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Lens have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Toulouse 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Toulouse?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–1 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Toulouse?
Lens vs Toulouse (Coupe De France) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 20:10 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
