Sportivo Belgrano 50%Draw 27%9 de Julio Rafaela 22%Expected goals 1.32 – 0.89
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Belgrano to win ✓50% · @1.70
Double chanceSportivo Belgrano or draw ✓78% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Saturday 21 March: Sportivo Belgrano v 9 de Julio Rafaela in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Oscar C. Boero. In the table, Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th (upper half) with 25.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Belgrano 1.3 xG, 9 de Julio Rafaela 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Belgrano 50%, draw 27%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 22%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Belgrano 1–1 9 de Julio Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Belgrano50%fair 1.99 · @1.70
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
9 de Julio Rafaela22%fair 4.46 · @5.00
2.21Expected goals
1.32Sportivo Belgrano xG
0.899 de Julio Rafaela xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sportivo Belgrano 1.3 – 0.9 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sportivo Belgrano
9 de Julio Rafaela
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-24%
+33%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+34%
Our expected goals here
1.24
0.99
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Belgrano to win✓
50%
1.99
1.70
Double chance
Sportivo Belgrano or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.38 ▲
Draw no bet
Sportivo Belgrano (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
9 de Julio Rafaela +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Sportivo Belgrano to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Belgrano / FT Sportivo Belgrano✓
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Sportivo Belgrano
No recent results on record.
9 de Julio Rafaela
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Belgrano and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Sportivo Belgrano have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Belgrano 1–1 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Oscar C. Boero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
