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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villa Mitre v Kimberley Mar del Plata: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio El Fortin
Villa Mitre 42%Draw 33%Kimberley Mar del Plata 26% Expected goals 0.92 – 0.62
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultVilla Mitre to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceVilla Mitre or draw ✓74% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.09

Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Monday 25 May: Villa Mitre v Kimberley Mar del Plata in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio El Fortin. In the table, Villa Mitre are 16th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Circulo Deportivo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villa Mitre 0.9 xG, Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.6 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Mitre 42%, draw 33%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Villa Mitre or draw (74%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Mitre 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villa Mitre42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw33%fair 3.08 · @2.75
Kimberley Mar del Plata26%fair 3.89 · @3.90
1.54Expected goals
0.92Villa Mitre xG
0.62Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
43%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–021%
1–020%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–16%

From our goals model: Villa Mitre 0.9 – 0.6 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Villa MitreKimberley Mar del Plata
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+9%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-28%-32%
Our expected goals here0.880.57

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVilla Mitre to win ✗42%2.392.05
Double chanceVilla Mitre or draw ✓74%1.351.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.761.50
Draw no betVilla Mitre (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapKimberley Mar del Plata +1 (Asian handicap) ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗52%1.941.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.131.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.061.03
First team to scoreVilla Mitre to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓56%1.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.09–

Recent results

Villa Mitre – last 2

WW
17 Mayvs Sol de Mayo2–1W
29 Marvs Circulo Deportivo2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 3

WDD
17 May@ Circulo Deportivo1–0W
5 Aprvs Santamarina0–0D
29 Mar@ Germinal de Rawson0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Villa Mitre and Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 26%.

How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.