Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlvarado to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · @1.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.32
Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alvarado welcome Circulo Deportivo for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Saturday 20 June (19:30 WAT). In the table, Alvarado are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Circulo Deportivo are 37th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alvarado, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kimberley Mar del Plata, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Circulo Deportivo, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santamarina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alvarado, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.4 for Circulo Deportivo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alvarado 1.5 xG, Circulo Deportivo 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alvarado 65%, draw 24%, Circulo Deportivo 11%.
GG/NG: NG (62%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvarado 1–0 Circulo Deportivo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alvarado65%fair 1.54 · @1.33
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.90
Circulo Deportivo11%fair 9.02 · @9.50
1.83Expected goals
1.45Alvarado xG
0.38Circulo Deportivo xG
38%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
2–017%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Alvarado 1.5 – 0.4 Circulo Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alvarado
Circulo Deportivo
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+28%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.46
0.37
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvarado to win✓
65%
1.54
1.33
Double chance
Alvarado or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.30
Draw no bet
Alvarado (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Alvarado -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Alvarado to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alvarado / FT Alvarado✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
23%
4.32
–
Recent results
Alvarado – last 6
DWDWDW
14 Jun
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–2
D
7 Jun
vs Sol de Mayo
2–0
W
31 May
@ Guillermo Brown
0–0
D
24 May
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sol de Mayo
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Guillermo Brown
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Circulo Deportivo – last 5
DDLLL
14 Jun
vs Santamarina
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
17 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Villa Mitre
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvarado and Circulo Deportivo.
What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Circulo Deportivo 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Circulo Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo?
Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
