Costa Brava 54%Draw 28%Deportivo Rincon 17%Expected goals 1.24 – 0.63
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultCosta Brava to win ✗54% · @1.62
Double chanceCosta Brava or draw ✗83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.24
Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 25 July: Costa Brava v Deportivo Rincon in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu. In the table, Costa Brava are 27th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Rincon are 22nd (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Costa Brava, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Huracan Las Heras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Rincon, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Huracan Las Heras, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Costa Brava, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Rincon.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Costa Brava 1.2 xG, Deportivo Rincon 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Costa Brava 54%, draw 28%, Deportivo Rincon 17%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Costa Brava 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Costa Brava54%fair 1.84 · @1.62
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.20
Deportivo Rincon17%fair 5.81 · @5.25
1.87Expected goals
1.24Costa Brava xG
0.63Deportivo Rincon xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Costa Brava 1.2 – 0.6 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Costa Brava
Deportivo Rincon
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+1%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.10
0.68
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Costa Brava have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Rincon 17%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Costa Brava 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon?
Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
