Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.19
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 24 July: Kimberley Mar del Plata v Circulo Deportivo in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle. In the table, Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Circulo Deportivo are 37th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sol de Mayo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Circulo Deportivo, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sol de Mayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kimberley Mar del Plata, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Circulo Deportivo.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Circulo Deportivo 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.3 xG, Circulo Deportivo 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kimberley Mar del Plata 62%, draw 26%, Circulo Deportivo 12%.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Circulo Deportivo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kimberley Mar del Plata62%fair 1.61 · @1.40
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.50
Circulo Deportivo12%fair 8.58 · @8.50
1.73Expected goals
1.34Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
0.39Circulo Deportivo xG
41%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.3 – 0.4 Circulo Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Circulo Deportivo
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+11%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.27
0.36
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win✗
62%
1.61
1.40
Double chance
Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.33
Draw no bet
Kimberley Mar del Plata (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Kimberley Mar del Plata -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.04
First team to score
Kimberley Mar del Plata to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kimberley Mar del Plata / FT Kimberley Mar del Plata✗
What is the prediction for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?
On our numbers Kimberley Mar del Plata have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Circulo Deportivo 12%.
How many goals will there be in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our predicted score is Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Circulo Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo?
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Circulo Deportivo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
