Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.15 – our chance 53% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +67%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.15
Double chanceBolivia or draw ✓78% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Bolivia vs Suriname: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Thursday 26 March: Bolivia v Suriname in the World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs, played at Estadio BBVA.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolivia 1.2 xG, Suriname 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolivia 25%, draw 53%, Suriname 22%.
Lower-risk option: Bolivia or draw (78%) at 1.40.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bolivia or draw (78%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolivia 1–1 Suriname. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolivia25%fair 3.95 · @2.46
Draw53%fair 1.89 · @3.15
Suriname22%fair 4.60 · @2.88
2.36Expected goals
1.21Bolivia xG
1.14Suriname xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bolivia 1.2 – 1.1 Suriname expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.89
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Bolivia or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Bolivia (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Suriname +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Bolivia to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolivia / FT Bolivia✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.61
–
Recent results
Bolivia
No recent results on record.
Suriname
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolivia and Suriname.
Our pick is Bolivia or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bolivia vs Suriname?
On our numbers Bolivia have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Suriname 22%.
How many goals will there be in Bolivia vs Suriname?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolivia vs Suriname?
Our predicted score is Bolivia 1–1 Suriname, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bolivia vs Suriname?
Bolivia vs Suriname (World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
