Sonderjyske v FC Midtjylland: numbers & prediction

Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Thursday 23 April: Sonderjyske v FC Midtjylland in the Superliga, played at Sydbank Park. In the table, Sonderjyske are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; FC Midtjylland are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sonderjyske, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Brondby, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

FC Midtjylland, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aarhus, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Midtjylland, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Sonderjyske.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sonderjyske 1.2 xG, FC Midtjylland 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Sonderjyske 17%, draw 21%, FC Midtjylland 62%.
• Lower-risk option: FC Midtjylland or draw (83%) at 1.15.
• GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sonderjyske 1–2 FC Midtjylland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.