Value bet: FC Midtjylland to win @ 2.85 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFC Midtjylland to win37% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.81
Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aarhus welcome FC Midtjylland to New Vejlby Stadium for a Superliga fixture on Sunday 26 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Aarhus are 8th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; FC Midtjylland are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aarhus, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Nordsjaelland, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
FC Midtjylland, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sonderjyske, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Midtjylland, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Aarhus.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended FC Midtjylland 2–1 Aarhus. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aarhus 0 wins, FC Midtjylland 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aarhus 1.5 xG, FC Midtjylland 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aarhus 37%, draw 25%, FC Midtjylland 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: FC Midtjylland to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aarhus 1–1 FC Midtjylland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aarhus37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.25
FC Midtjylland37%fair 2.67 · @2.85
2.99Expected goals
1.49Aarhus xG
1.51FC Midtjylland xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aarhus 1.5 – 1.5 FC Midtjylland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Midtjylland 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland?
Our predicted score is Aarhus 1–1 FC Midtjylland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland?
Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at New Vejlby Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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