Value bet: BFA to win @ 1.82 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBFA to win ✓63% · @1.82
Double chanceBFA or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
BFA vs Ekranas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Thursday 2 July: BFA v Ekranas in the 1 Lyga. In the table, BFA are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; Ekranas are 16th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BFA, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kauno Žalgiris II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Ekranas, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atmosfera, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BFA, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Ekranas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFA 2.2 xG, Ekranas 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFA 63%, draw 21%, Ekranas 15%.
Lower-risk option: BFA or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: BFA to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFA 2–0 Ekranas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFA63%fair 1.58 · @1.82
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Ekranas15%fair 6.50 · @3.75
3.12Expected goals
2.24BFA xG
0.89Ekranas xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: BFA 2.2 – 0.9 Ekranas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
BFA
Ekranas
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+13%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+44%
Our expected goals here
2.76
0.87
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BFA to win✓
63%
1.58
1.82 ▲
Double chance
BFA or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
BFA (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
BFA -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.10
First team to score
BFA to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
BFA ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BFA / FT BFA✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
BFA – last 6
WLLLWW
28 Jun
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
1–0
W
23 Jun
vs Kauno Žalgiris
0–3
L
20 Jun
vs Hegelmann II
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Minija
0–3
L
30 May
vs Jonava
1–0
W
22 May
@ Žalgiris II
4–3
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ekranas – last 6
LLLLWD
27 Jun
vs Atmosfera
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Tauras
1–2
L
5 Jun
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
1–2
L
29 May
@ Dainava
0–2
L
22 May
vs Transinvest 2
4–0
W
17 May
@ FA Šiauliai II
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BFA and Ekranas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win BFA vs Ekranas?
On our numbers BFA have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ekranas 15%.
How many goals will there be in BFA vs Ekranas?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFA vs Ekranas?
Our predicted score is BFA 2–0 Ekranas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is BFA vs Ekranas?
BFA vs Ekranas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Thursday 2 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
