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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Humaitá v Santa Cruz AC: numbers & prediction

Acreano · Brazil
0–1
FT
Humaitá 44%Draw 23%Santa Cruz AC 33% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.17
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Humaitá to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHumaitá to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34

Humaitá vs Santa Cruz AC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:15 WAT, Thursday 19 March: Humaitá v Santa Cruz AC in the Acreano.

Current form

Santa Cruz AC, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Humaitá, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Santa Cruz AC 0–0 Humaitá.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Humaitá 1.4 xG, Santa Cruz AC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Humaitá 44%, draw 23%, Santa Cruz AC 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Humaitá to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Humaitá 1–1 Santa Cruz AC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Humaitá44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Santa Cruz AC33%fair 3.02 · @2.65
2.59Expected goals
1.41Humaitá xG
1.17Santa Cruz AC xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Humaitá 1.4 – 1.2 Santa Cruz AC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHumaitá to win ✗44%2.262.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.65
Draw no betHumaitá (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapSanta Cruz AC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreHumaitá to score first ✗50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Humaitá / FT Humaitá ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.34–

Recent results

Humaitá – last 2

DW
14 Mar@ Santa Cruz AC0–0D
25 Febvs São Francisco7–0W
3.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Santa Cruz AC – last 3

DWW
14 Marvs Humaitá0–0D
7 Marvs ADESG3–2W
24 Feb@ Rio Branco3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Santa Cruz AC v Humaitá0–0
Humaitá vs Santa Cruz AC head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Humaitá vs Santa Cruz AC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Humaitá vs Santa Cruz AC?

On our numbers Humaitá have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Cruz AC 33%.

How many goals will there be in Humaitá vs Santa Cruz AC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Humaitá vs Santa Cruz AC?

Our predicted score is Humaitá 1–1 Santa Cruz AC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Humaitá vs Santa Cruz AC?

Humaitá vs Santa Cruz AC (Acreano) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.