Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Monday 16 March: Al Nasr v Al-Shabab in the Professional League. In the table, Al Nasr are 3rd, among the top four, on 12 points after 6 matches; Al-Shabab are 2nd (among the top four) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al-Shabab, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sohar, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasr 1.1 xG, Al-Shabab 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasr 27%, draw 26%, Al-Shabab 47%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasr 1–1 Al-Shabab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Nasr27%fair 3.65 · @3.20
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.00
Al-Shabab47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
2.66Expected goals
1.09Al Nasr xG
1.57Al-Shabab xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 1.1 – 1.6 Al-Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Shabab to win✗
47%
2.14
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Shabab (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Al Nasr +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Al-Shabab to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Al Nasr – last 2
DW
12 Mar
@ Al Seeb
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Sur
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al-Shabab – last 4
WWWW
11 Mar
vs Sohar
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Al-Nahda
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al-Khabourah
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibri
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Nasr and Al-Shabab.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al-Shabab 47%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 1–1 Al-Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab?
Al Nasr vs Al-Shabab (Professional League) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Khabourah0
Al-Rustaq2