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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Metalourg v Shortan: numbers & prediction

Pro League A · Uzbekistan · Metallurg Bekabad Stadium
1–1
FT

Shortan

WWWWL
Metalourg 44%Draw 21%Shortan 35% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.35
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultMetalourg to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Metalourg vs Shortan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 13 October the Pro League A brings Metalourg against Shortan at Metallurg Bekabad Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Metalourg are 3rd, among the top four, on 52 points after 26 matches; Shortan are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Metalourg, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jayxun, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Shortan, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jayxun, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Metalourg, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Shortan.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jun 2026) it ended Shortan 1–0 Metalourg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Metalourg 1.5 xG, Shortan 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Metalourg 44%, draw 21%, Shortan 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metalourg 2–1 Shortan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Metalourg44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Shortan35%fair 2.84 · @2.62
2.90Expected goals
1.55Metalourg xG
1.35Shortan xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Metalourg 1.5 – 1.4 Shortan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMetalourg to win ✗44%2.282.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betMetalourg (draw no bet)55%1.80–
Asian handicapShortan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreMetalourg to score first ✓50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Metalourg / FT Metalourg ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.23–

Recent results

Metalourg – last 6

WWWWWW
20 Sepvs Jayxun1–0W
7 Sepvs Pakhtakor II1–0W
2 Sep@ Olimpik-Mobiuz3–2W
27 Aug@ BuxDu4–0W
20 Aug@ Qiziriq3–0W
15 Aug@ Respublika FA3–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Shortan – last 6

WWWWLL
7 Octvs Jayxun3–1W
21 Sep@ Pakhtakor II4–0W
12 Sepvs Qiziriq3–0W
6 Sep@ Yaypan4–1W
29 Augvs Lochin0–1L
22 Aug@ FarDu1–3L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jun 2026Shortan v Metalourg1–0
Metalourg vs Shortan head-to-head page →

Pro League A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Aral261943+3561
2Shortan261655+2153
3Metalourg261574+3552
4FarDu261475+1149
5Olimpik-Mobiuz261466+2448
6Kattaqurgon261448+1246
7Gazalkent261268+1142
8Lochin261178+640
9Respublika FA269710+134
10Jayxun268414-1028
11Yaypan268414-1728
12BuxDu265120-3516
13Pakhtakor II264121-4013
14Qiziriq261124-544

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metalourg vs Shortan?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Metalourg vs Shortan?

On our numbers Metalourg have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shortan 35%.

How many goals will there be in Metalourg vs Shortan?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Metalourg vs Shortan?

Our predicted score is Metalourg 2–1 Shortan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Metalourg vs Shortan?

Metalourg vs Shortan (Pro League A) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Metallurg Bekabad Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.