Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Metalourg to win @ 1.86 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMetalourg to win ✓60% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Metalourg vs Aral: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aral travel to face Metalourg on Monday 9 November in the Pro League A, with Metallurg Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, Metalourg are 3rd, among the top four, on 52 points after 26 matches; Aral are 1st (leading the league) with 61.
Current form
Metalourg, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lochin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aral, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gazalkent, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Aral, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Metalourg.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Aug 2026) it ended Aral 1–0 Metalourg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metalourg 1.8 xG, Aral 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metalourg 60%, draw 15%, Aral 26%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Metalourg to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metalourg 1–1 Aral. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metalourg60%fair 1.67 · @1.86
Draw15%fair 6.83 · @3.75
Aral26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
2.91Expected goals
1.84Metalourg xG
1.06Aral xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Metalourg 1.8 – 1.1 Aral expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Metalourg vs Aral?
On our numbers Metalourg have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Aral 26%.
How many goals will there be in Metalourg vs Aral?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metalourg vs Aral?
Our predicted score is Metalourg 1–1 Aral, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Metalourg vs Aral?
Metalourg vs Aral (Pro League A) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Metallurg Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
