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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Metalourg v Gazalkent: numbers & prediction

Pro League A · Uzbekistan · Metallurg Stadium
2–2
FT
Metalourg 61%Draw 17%Gazalkent 22% Expected goals 2.05 – 1.12
61%
Betarazi pick

Metalourg to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultMetalourg to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Metalourg vs Gazalkent: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Monday 26 October: Metalourg v Gazalkent in the Pro League A, played at Metallurg Stadium. In the table, Metalourg are 3rd, among the top four, on 52 points after 26 matches; Gazalkent are 7th (upper half) with 42.

Current form

Metalourg, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FarDu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Gazalkent, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Navbahor, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Metalourg, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Gazalkent.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Gazalkent 3–2 Metalourg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Metalourg 2.0 xG, Gazalkent 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Metalourg 61%, draw 17%, Gazalkent 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Metalourg to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metalourg 2–1 Gazalkent. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Metalourg61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @3.80
Gazalkent22%fair 4.53 · @2.90
3.16Expected goals
2.05Metalourg xG
1.12Gazalkent xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Metalourg 2.0 – 1.1 Gazalkent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMetalourg to win ✗61%1.651.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betMetalourg (draw no bet)73%1.36–
Asian handicapGazalkent +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreMetalourg to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultMetalourg ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Metalourg / FT Metalourg ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Metalourg – last 6

WDWWWW
19 Oct@ FarDu1–0W
13 Octvs Shortan1–1D
20 Sepvs Jayxun1–0W
7 Sepvs Pakhtakor II1–0W
2 Sep@ Olimpik-Mobiuz3–2W
27 Aug@ BuxDu4–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gazalkent – last 6

LWWWWD
21 Oct@ Navbahor1–3L
17 Octvs Shortan2–1W
8 Octvs Pakhtakor II3–2W
22 Sep@ Qiziriq4–1W
16 Sepvs Kokand-19122–1W
11 Sepvs Yaypan0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Gazalkent v Metalourg3–2
Metalourg vs Gazalkent head-to-head page →

Pro League A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Aral261943+3561
2Shortan261655+2153
3Metalourg261574+3552
4FarDu261475+1149
5Olimpik-Mobiuz261466+2448
6Kattaqurgon261448+1246
7Gazalkent261268+1142
8Lochin261178+640
9Respublika FA269710+134
10Jayxun268414-1028
11Yaypan268414-1728
12BuxDu265120-3516
13Pakhtakor II264121-4013
14Qiziriq261124-544

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metalourg vs Gazalkent?

Our pick is Metalourg to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Metalourg vs Gazalkent?

On our numbers Metalourg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Gazalkent 22%.

How many goals will there be in Metalourg vs Gazalkent?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Metalourg vs Gazalkent?

Our predicted score is Metalourg 2–1 Gazalkent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Metalourg vs Gazalkent?

Metalourg vs Gazalkent (Pro League A) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Metallurg Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.