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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Austria Vienna v Sturm Graz: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Austria · Generali Arena
2–5
FT
Austria Vienna 41%Draw 25%Sturm Graz 33% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.41
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultAustria Vienna to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 March the Bundesliga brings Austria Vienna against Sturm Graz at Generali Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Austria Vienna are 11th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Austria Vienna, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ried, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Sturm Graz, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over SCR Altach, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sturm Graz, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Austria Vienna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austria Vienna 1.5 xG, Sturm Graz 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Austria Vienna 41%, draw 25%, Sturm Graz 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austria Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austria Vienna41%fair 2.41 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
Sturm Graz33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
2.93Expected goals
1.53Austria Vienna xG
1.41Sturm Graz xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%

From our goals model: Austria Vienna 1.5 – 1.4 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustria Vienna to win ✗41%2.412.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.75
Draw no betAustria Vienna (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapSturm Graz +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreAustria Vienna to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Austria Vienna / FT Austria Vienna ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

Austria Vienna – last 4

WDLW
8 Mar@ Ried2–0W
1 Marvs Lask Linz2–2D
21 Feb@ SCR Altach1–2L
15 Febvs Rapid Vienna2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sturm Graz – last 3

WDW
8 Marvs SCR Altach2–0W
1 Mar@ Wolfsberger AC2–2D
22 Febvs FC BW Linz1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz.

Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna121101+3033
2Red Bull Salzburg12930+2430
3Lask Linz12813+1525
4TSV Hartberg12624+420
5Sturm Graz12543+519
6Ried12444-116
7WSG Wattens12345-313
8Austria Lustenau12327-1511
9SCR Altach12318-910
10Grazer AK12246-2010
11Austria Vienna12228-128
12Wolfsberger AC12138-186

More Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

On our numbers Austria Vienna have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sturm Graz 33%.

How many goals will there be in Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

Our predicted score is Austria Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Generali Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.