Value bet: Rapid Vienna to win @ 2.33 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRapid Vienna to win ✗51% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sturm Graz travel to face Rapid Vienna on Sunday 5 April in the Bundesliga, with Allianz Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Rapid Vienna are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rapid Vienna, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Lask Linz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sturm Graz, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Red Bull Salzburg, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rapid Vienna 1.9 xG, Sturm Graz 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rapid Vienna 51%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 27%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Rapid Vienna to win @2.33 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rapid Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rapid Vienna51%fair 1.98 · @2.33
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.35
Sturm Graz27%fair 3.75 · @2.95
2.96Expected goals
1.87Rapid Vienna xG
1.08Sturm Graz xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Rapid Vienna 1.9 – 1.1 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rapid Vienna to win✗
51%
1.98
2.33 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.67
Draw no bet
Rapid Vienna (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Sturm Graz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.11
First team to score
Rapid Vienna to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Rapid Vienna ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rapid Vienna / FT Rapid Vienna✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Rapid Vienna – last 6
WWWDWL
22 Mar
vs Lask Linz
4–2
W
15 Mar
@ Red Bull Salzburg
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ SCR Altach
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Wolfsberger AC
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Austria Vienna
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 5
DWWDW
20 Mar
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Austria Vienna
5–2
W
8 Mar
vs SCR Altach
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Wolfsberger AC
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs FC BW Linz
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rapid Vienna and Sturm Graz.
What is the prediction for Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Rapid Vienna have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sturm Graz 27%.
How many goals will there be in Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Rapid Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
