Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLask Linz to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sturm Graz travel to face Lask Linz on Sunday 19 April in the Bundesliga, with Raiffeisen Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Lask Linz are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Lask Linz, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Red Bull Salzburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Sturm Graz, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rapid Vienna, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sturm Graz, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Lask Linz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lask Linz 1.9 xG, Sturm Graz 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lask Linz 46%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 31%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lask Linz 1–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lask Linz46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.55
Sturm Graz31%fair 3.19 · @3.10
3.24Expected goals
1.85Lask Linz xG
1.39Sturm Graz xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lask Linz 1.9 – 1.4 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lask Linz to win✗
46%
2.18
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Draw no bet
Lask Linz (draw no bet)
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Sturm Graz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
First team to score
Lask Linz to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lask Linz / FT Lask Linz✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Lask Linz – last 6
WWLDDW
10 Apr
@ Red Bull Salzburg
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs Austria Vienna
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Rapid Vienna
2–4
L
18 Mar
@ Ried
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs TSV Hartberg
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Wolfsberger AC
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 6
WDWWDW
5 Apr
@ Rapid Vienna
2–0
W
20 Mar
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Austria Vienna
5–2
W
8 Mar
vs SCR Altach
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Wolfsberger AC
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs FC BW Linz
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lask Linz and Sturm Graz.
What is the prediction for Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Lask Linz have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sturm Graz 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Lask Linz 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Raiffeisen Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
