Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSturm Graz to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sturm Graz welcome Lask Linz to Merkur-Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Wednesday 22 April (19:30 WAT). In the table, Sturm Graz are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 12 matches; Lask Linz are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Sturm Graz, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lask Linz, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Lask Linz, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sturm Graz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sturm Graz, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Lask Linz.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Lask Linz 1–1 Sturm Graz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 1.6 xG, Lask Linz 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 39%, draw 23%, Lask Linz 38%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturm Graz39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Lask Linz38%fair 2.63 · @2.55
3.21Expected goals
1.60Sturm Graz xG
1.61Lask Linz xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.6 – 1.6 Lask Linz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lask Linz 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
