Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Austria Vienna travel to face Sturm Graz on Sunday 26 April in the Bundesliga, with Merkur-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sturm Graz are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 12 matches; Austria Vienna are 11th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Sturm Graz, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lask Linz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Austria Vienna, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Red Bull Salzburg, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sturm Graz, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Austria Vienna.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Austria Vienna 2–5 Sturm Graz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 1.7 xG, Austria Vienna 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 45%, draw 24%, Austria Vienna 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Vienna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturm Graz45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
Austria Vienna31%fair 3.27 · @3.10
2.91Expected goals
1.66Sturm Graz xG
1.25Austria Vienna xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.7 – 1.2 Austria Vienna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austria Vienna 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Vienna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
