Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Red Bull Salzburg welcome Sturm Graz to Red Bull Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 3 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Red Bull Salzburg, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rapid Vienna, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sturm Graz, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lask Linz, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Red Bull Salzburg 2.0 xG, Sturm Graz 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Red Bull Salzburg 59%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 19%.
Lower-risk option: Red Bull Salzburg or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Red Bull Salzburg59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.00
Sturm Graz19%fair 5.18 · @4.60
3.18Expected goals
2.03Red Bull Salzburg xG
1.15Sturm Graz xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Red Bull Salzburg 2.0 – 1.2 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Red Bull Salzburg have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sturm Graz 19%.
How many goals will there be in Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
