Value bet: Ried to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRied to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Grazer AK vs Ried: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Friday 17 April: Grazer AK v Ried in the Bundesliga, played at Merkur-Arena. In the table, Grazer AK are 10th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Ried are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Grazer AK, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to WSG Wattens, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ried, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over SCR Altach, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Grazer AK 2–1 Ried.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grazer AK 1.3 xG, Ried 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grazer AK 33%, draw 25%, Ried 42%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Ried to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grazer AK 1–1 Ried. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grazer AK33%fair 3.01 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Ried42%fair 2.38 · @2.70
2.99Expected goals
1.29Grazer AK xG
1.70Ried xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Grazer AK 1.3 – 1.7 Ried expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Ried?
On our numbers Grazer AK have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ried 42%.
How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs Ried?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs Ried?
Our predicted score is Grazer AK 1–1 Ried, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Grazer AK vs Ried?
Grazer AK vs Ried (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
