Value bet: Ried to win @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRied to win ✓51% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Ried vs Grazer AK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Tuesday 21 April: Ried v Grazer AK in the Bundesliga, played at Josko Arena. In the table, Ried are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Grazer AK are 10th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Ried, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Grazer AK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Grazer AK, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ried, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Grazer AK 1–1 Ried. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ried 0 wins, Grazer AK 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ried 2.0 xG, Grazer AK 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ried 51%, draw 22%, Grazer AK 26%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Ried to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ried 1–1 Grazer AK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ried51%fair 1.95 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Grazer AK26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
3.11Expected goals
1.98Ried xG
1.13Grazer AK xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ried 2.0 – 1.1 Grazer AK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Ried vs Grazer AK?
On our numbers Ried have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grazer AK 26%.
How many goals will there be in Ried vs Grazer AK?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ried vs Grazer AK?
Our predicted score is Ried 1–1 Grazer AK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ried vs Grazer AK?
Ried vs Grazer AK (Bundesliga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Josko Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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