Viking vs Aalesund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: Viking v Aalesund in the NM Cupen, played at Lyse Arena.
Current form
Aalesund, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lillestrom, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Viking 2.7 xG, Aalesund 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Viking 67%, draw 17%, Aalesund 15%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Viking 2–1 Aalesund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Viking67%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @4.60
Aalesund15%fair 6.46 · @5.75
3.99Expected goals
2.73Viking xG
1.25Aalesund xG
62%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–25%
From our goals model: Viking 2.7 – 1.3 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Viking to win✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Viking or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Viking (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Viking -1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.28
First team to score
Viking to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Viking ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Viking / FT Viking✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Viking – last 2
DD
20 Feb
@ Tromso
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Molde
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aalesund – last 3
LWL
15 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Egersund
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Viking and Aalesund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Viking vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Viking have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Aalesund 15%.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs Aalesund?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Viking vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Viking 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Viking vs Aalesund?
Viking vs Aalesund (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lyse Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
