Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the PFL brings Maharlika against Davao Aguilas. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Maharlika are 1st on 39 points after 24 matches; Davao Aguilas are 5th with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Maharlika, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Garelli United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Davao Aguilas, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dynamic Herb Cebu, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maharlika 1.3 xG, Davao Aguilas 2.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maharlika 23%, draw 24%, Davao Aguilas 54%.
Lower-risk option: Davao Aguilas or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Davao Aguilas or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maharlika 1–2 Davao Aguilas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maharlika23%fair 4.38 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Davao Aguilas54%fair 1.87 · @1.75
3.28Expected goals
1.26Maharlika xG
2.02Davao Aguilas xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Maharlika 1.3 – 2.0 Davao Aguilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Davao Aguilas to win✗
54%
1.87
1.75
Double chance
Davao Aguilas or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.53
Draw no bet
Davao Aguilas (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Maharlika +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Davao Aguilas to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Davao Aguilas ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Davao Aguilas / FT Davao Aguilas✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Maharlika – last 5
WDLWD
14 Mar
vs Garelli United
3–1
W
7 Mar
@ Philippine Army
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Dynamic Herb Cebu
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ Mendiola
4–2
W
15 Feb
@ Stallion
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Davao Aguilas – last 6
LLWWWW
22 Mar
@ Dynamic Herb Cebu
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Manila Digger
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Philippine Army
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Tuloy
7–2
W
1 Mar
vs Mendiola
5–0
W
22 Feb
@ Garelli United
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maharlika and Davao Aguilas.
What is the prediction for Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
Our pick is Davao Aguilas or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
On our numbers Maharlika have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Davao Aguilas 54%.
How many goals will there be in Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
Our predicted score is Maharlika 1–2 Davao Aguilas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas (PFL) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
