Value bet: Monagas II to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMonagas II to win ✓44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.79
Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Segunda División brings Atletico Avila FC against Monagas II. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Avila FC are 8th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 26 matches; Monagas II are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Avila FC 0.9 xG, Monagas II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Avila FC 31%, draw 24%, Monagas II 44%.
Price worth noting: Monagas II to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Avila FC 0–1 Monagas II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Avila FC31%fair 3.18 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.40
Monagas II44%fair 2.26 · @2.70
2.20Expected goals
0.87Atletico Avila FC xG
1.33Monagas II xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–010%
1–29%
From our goals model: Atletico Avila FC 0.9 – 1.3 Monagas II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monagas II to win✓
44%
2.26
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Monagas II (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Avila FC +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Monagas II to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monagas II / FT Monagas II✓
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.79
–
Recent results
Atletico Avila FC
No recent results on record.
Monagas II – last 1
L
23 Mar
vs Bolívar
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Avila FC and Monagas II.
What is the prediction for Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
On our numbers Atletico Avila FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monagas II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
Our predicted score is Atletico Avila FC 0–1 Monagas II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II?
Atletico Avila FC vs Monagas II (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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