Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✗57% · @1.50
Double chanceFerroviária or draw ✗81% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 19 March the Paulista A2 brings Ferroviária against Sertãozinho. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Ferroviária, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventus, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sertãozinho, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to São José EC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sertãozinho, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Ferroviária.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.6 xG, Sertãozinho 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 57%, draw 24%, Sertãozinho 19%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–0 Sertãozinho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviária57%fair 1.74 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.70
Sertãozinho19%fair 5.31 · @6.20
2.52Expected goals
1.63Ferroviária xG
0.89Sertãozinho xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.6 – 0.9 Sertãozinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✗
57%
1.74
1.50
Double chance
Ferroviária or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Ferroviária (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Sertãozinho +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Ferroviária to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Ferroviária – last 4
LLWD
15 Mar
@ Juventus
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Votuporanguense
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Monte Azul
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ São José EC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sertãozinho – last 4
LWWW
14 Mar
vs São José EC
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ Monte Azul
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Santo André
2–1
W
18 Feb
vs Juventus
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Sertãozinho.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sertãozinho 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Sertãozinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho (Paulista A2) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
