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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventus v Sertãozinho: numbers & prediction

Paulista A2 · Brazil · Estadio Rua Javari
2–1
FT
Juventus 56%Draw 24%Sertãozinho 20% Expected goals 1.70 – 0.89
80%
Betarazi pick

Juventus or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Juventus to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJuventus to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36

Juventus vs Sertãozinho: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sertãozinho travel to face Juventus on Sunday 22 March in the Paulista A2, with Estadio Rua Javari the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Juventus, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ferroviária, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Sertãozinho, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ferroviária, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Sertãozinho 1–0 Juventus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventus 1.7 xG, Sertãozinho 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventus 56%, draw 24%, Sertãozinho 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Juventus or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Juventus to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Juventus or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventus 1–0 Sertãozinho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventus56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Sertãozinho20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
2.59Expected goals
1.70Juventus xG
0.89Sertãozinho xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Juventus 1.7 – 0.9 Sertãozinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventus to win ✓56%1.791.95 ▲
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.85 ▲
Draw no betJuventus (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapSertãozinho +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreJuventus to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventus / FT Juventus ✗35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.36–

Recent results

Juventus – last 5

WWWDL
15 Marvs Ferroviária2–1W
1 Marvs XV de Piracicaba3–0W
25 Feb@ Monte Azul3–1W
22 Febvs Sao Bento0–0D
18 Feb@ Sertãozinho0–1L
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Sertãozinho – last 5

WLWWW
19 Mar@ Ferroviária2–1W
14 Marvs São José EC1–2L
4 Mar@ Monte Azul2–0W
25 Feb@ Santo André2–1W
18 Febvs Juventus1–0W
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Feb 2026Sertãozinho v Juventus1–0
Juventus vs Sertãozinho head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventus vs Sertãozinho?

Our pick is Juventus or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Juventus vs Sertãozinho?

On our numbers Juventus have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sertãozinho 20%.

How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Sertãozinho?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Sertãozinho?

Our predicted score is Juventus 1–0 Sertãozinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Juventus vs Sertãozinho?

Juventus vs Sertãozinho (Paulista A2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rua Javari.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.