Ituano 36%Draw 28%Água Santa 36%Expected goals 1.12 – 1.12
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultÁgua Santa to win ✗36% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.35
Ituano vs Água Santa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ituano welcome Água Santa for a Paulista A2 fixture on Wednesday 25 March (22:00 WAT).
Current form
Ituano, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with XV de Piracicaba, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Água Santa, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Votuporanguense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Água Santa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Ituano.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Ituano 0–1 Água Santa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituano 1.1 xG, Água Santa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituano 36%, draw 28%, Água Santa 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituano 1–1 Água Santa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituano36%fair 2.79 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.20
Água Santa36%fair 2.74 · @2.80
2.24Expected goals
1.12Ituano xG
1.12Água Santa xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.1 – 1.1 Água Santa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ituano vs Água Santa?
On our numbers Ituano have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Água Santa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Água Santa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Água Santa?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–1 Água Santa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Água Santa?
Ituano vs Água Santa (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
