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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Água Santa v Ituano: numbers & prediction

Paulista A2 · Brazil

Água Santa

LDWWW
Sat 28 Mar 2026

Ituano

WDLLL
Água Santa 42%Draw 28%Ituano 29% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.95
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultÁgua Santa to win42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.99

Água Santa vs Ituano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Água Santa v Ituano in the Paulista A2.

Current form

Água Santa, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ituano, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ituano, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Água Santa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Água Santa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Ituano.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Ituano 3–0 Água Santa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Água Santa 1 win, Ituano 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Água Santa 1.3 xG, Ituano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Água Santa 42%, draw 28%, Ituano 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Água Santa 1–1 Ituano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Água Santa42%fair 2.35 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.00
Ituano29%fair 3.42 · @2.95
2.23Expected goals
1.27Água Santa xG
0.95Ituano xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Água Santa 1.3 – 1.0 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁgua Santa to win42%2.352.35
Double chanceEither team to win72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.891.93
Draw no betÁgua Santa (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapItuano +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals65%1.541.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals61%1.641.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals92%1.08–
First team to scoreÁgua Santa to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Água Santa / FT Água Santa25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%11.99–

Recent results

Água Santa – last 6

LDWWWL
25 Mar@ Ituano0–3L
18 Marvs Votuporanguense0–0D
1 Mar@ Monte Azul1–0W
25 Febvs Grêmio Prudente4–3W
18 Feb@ Ituano1–0W
14 Feb@ São José EC0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ituano – last 5

WDLLL
25 Marvs Água Santa3–0W
18 Marvs XV de Piracicaba0–0D
1 Mar@ Oeste0–2L
26 Feb@ São José EC1–2L
18 Febvs Água Santa0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Mar 2026Ituano v Água Santa3–0
18 Feb 2026Ituano v Água Santa0–1
Água Santa vs Ituano head-to-head page →

More Paulista A2 predictions

– Votuporanguense XV de Piracicaba 143%2.35X28%2.95229%3.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.45
FT Sertãozinho0 Juventus2 132%2.70X26%3.10242%2.45 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Água Santa vs Ituano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Água Santa vs Ituano?

On our numbers Água Santa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ituano 29%.

How many goals will there be in Água Santa vs Ituano?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Água Santa vs Ituano?

Our predicted score is Água Santa 1–1 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Água Santa vs Ituano?

Água Santa vs Ituano (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.