XV de Piracicaba 40%Draw 30%Ituano 30%Expected goals 1.12 – 0.87
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultXV de Piracicaba to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.37
XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 9 April the Paulista A2 brings XV de Piracicaba against Ituano at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
XV de Piracicaba, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Votuporanguense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ituano, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Água Santa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours XV de Piracicaba, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Ituano.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Ituano 0–0 XV de Piracicaba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give XV de Piracicaba 1.1 xG, Ituano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – XV de Piracicaba 40%, draw 30%, Ituano 30%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: XV de Piracicaba 1–0 Ituano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
XV de Piracicaba40%fair 2.51 · @2.35
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @3.00
Ituano30%fair 3.29 · @2.95
1.99Expected goals
1.12XV de Piracicaba xG
0.87Ituano xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: XV de Piracicaba 1.1 – 0.9 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
On our numbers XV de Piracicaba have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Ituano 30%.
How many goals will there be in XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is XV de Piracicaba 1–0 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano (Paulista A2) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra
