Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.76 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓61% · @1.76
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Torpedo Moskva vs Ska-khabarovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 30 March the First League brings Torpedo Moskva against Ska-khabarovsk at Arena Khimki. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Ska-khabarovsk are 15th (lower half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Torpedo Moskva, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chelyabinsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ska-khabarovsk, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Arsenal Tula, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.4 for Ska-khabarovsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.8 xG, Ska-khabarovsk 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 61%, draw 24%, Ska-khabarovsk 15%.
Lower-risk option: Torpedo Moskva or draw (85%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.03.
Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 2–0 Ska-khabarovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Moskva61%fair 1.65 · @1.76
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Ska-khabarovsk15%fair 6.56 · @4.60
2.52Expected goals
1.76Torpedo Moskva xG
0.75Ska-khabarovsk xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.8 – 0.8 Ska-khabarovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Torpedo Moskva
Ska-khabarovsk
Attack vs First League average
+19%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.01
0.84
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✓
61%
1.65
1.76 ▲
Double chance
Torpedo Moskva or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.03 ▲
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Torpedo Moskva -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.01
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Torpedo Moskva ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Torpedo Moskva – last 4
WWLW
23 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Chernomorets
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ska-khabarovsk – last 5
LDLWW
22 Mar
vs Arsenal Tula
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Chernomorets
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Chayka
3–1
W
17 Feb
vs Zenit 2
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Ska-khabarovsk.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Ska-khabarovsk?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ska-khabarovsk 15%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Ska-khabarovsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 2–0 Ska-khabarovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Torpedo Moskva vs Ska-khabarovsk (First League) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
