Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Trabzonspor to win @ 2.36 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTrabzonspor to win ✗47% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Cup brings Samsunspor against Trabzonspor at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT. In the table, Samsunspor are 1st, leading the league, on 12 points after 4 matches; Trabzonspor are 2nd (among the top four) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Samsunspor, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Beşiktaş, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Trabzonspor, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Eyüpspor, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game.
Momentum favours Trabzonspor, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Samsunspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samsunspor 1.3 xG, Trabzonspor 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samsunspor 30%, draw 23%, Trabzonspor 47%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Trabzonspor to win @2.36 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samsunspor 1–1 Trabzonspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samsunspor30%fair 3.36 · @2.64
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.45
Trabzonspor47%fair 2.12 · @2.36
3.20Expected goals
1.25Samsunspor xG
1.95Trabzonspor xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.3 – 1.9 Trabzonspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trabzonspor to win✗
47%
2.12
2.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Draw no bet
Trabzonspor (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Samsunspor +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Trabzonspor to score first✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Trabzonspor ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trabzonspor / FT Trabzonspor✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Samsunspor – last 6
WWLDWW
19 Apr
vs Beşiktaş
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Eyüpspor
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rizespor
1–4
L
5 Apr
vs Konyaspor
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kayserispor
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Trabzonspor – last 5
WWWWW
18 Mar
@ Eyüpspor
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Kayserispor
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Başakşehir
4–2
W
27 Feb
vs Fatih Karagümrük
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Gaziantep FK
2–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor.
What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trabzonspor 47%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–1 Trabzonspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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