Double chanceJiangxi Liansheng or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.49
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yichun Grand Tiger travel to face Jiangxi Liansheng on Saturday 9 May in the League Two, with Ruichang Sports Park Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Jiangxi Liansheng are 1st, leading the league, on 49 points after 30 matches; Yichun Grand Tiger are 5th (lower half) with 37. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jiangxi Liansheng, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shenzhen 2028, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Yichun Grand Tiger, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guangzhou Dandelion, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Jiangxi Liansheng, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Yichun Grand Tiger.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jiangxi Liansheng 1.3 xG, Yichun Grand Tiger 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jiangxi Liansheng 50%, draw 28%, Yichun Grand Tiger 22%.
Lower-risk option: Jiangxi Liansheng or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Jiangxi Liansheng or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jiangxi Liansheng 1–0 Yichun Grand Tiger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jiangxi Liansheng50%fair 2.00 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.88
Yichun Grand Tiger22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
1.95Expected goals
1.28Jiangxi Liansheng xG
0.67Yichun Grand Tiger xG
40%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Jiangxi Liansheng 1.3 – 0.7 Yichun Grand Tiger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jiangxi Liansheng to win✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Double chance
Jiangxi Liansheng or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Jiangxi Liansheng (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Yichun Grand Tiger +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Jiangxi Liansheng to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jiangxi Liansheng / FT Jiangxi Liansheng✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.49
–
Recent results
Jiangxi Liansheng – last 6
WDLWWL
5 May
@ Shenzhen 2028
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
25 Apr
vs Hubei Chufeng Heli
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Fujian Quanzhou Qinggong
7–0
W
14 Apr
vs Guizhou Zhucheng
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Guangzhou Dandelion
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yichun Grand Tiger – last 6
DDLLDD
5 May
vs Guangzhou Dandelion
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Dalian Kewei
0–2
L
15 Apr
vs Langfang Glory City
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Shangyu Pterosaur
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Wuhan Three Towns II
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jiangxi Liansheng and Yichun Grand Tiger.
What is the prediction for Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
Our pick is Jiangxi Liansheng or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
On our numbers Jiangxi Liansheng have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Yichun Grand Tiger 22%.
How many goals will there be in Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
Our predicted score is Jiangxi Liansheng 1–0 Yichun Grand Tiger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger?
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Yichun Grand Tiger (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Ruichang Sports Park Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dalian Kewei2
Shenzhen 20282
Guizhou Zhucheng1
Shangyu Pterosaur1
Wuhan Three Towns II0
Guangzhou Dandelion0