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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yichun Grand Tiger v Shenzhen 2028: numbers & prediction

League Two · China · Wenzhou Sports Centre
1–1
FT
Yichun Grand Tiger 15%Draw 27%Shenzhen 2028 58% Expected goals 0.70 – 1.61
85%
Betarazi pick

Shenzhen 2028 or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Shenzhen 2028 to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShenzhen 2028 to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceShenzhen 2028 or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.26

Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shenzhen 2028 travel to face Yichun Grand Tiger on Sunday 16 August in the League Two, with Wenzhou Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Yichun Grand Tiger are 5th, lower half, on 37 points after 30 matches; Shenzhen 2028 are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Yichun Grand Tiger, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guangdong Mingtu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Shenzhen 2028, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Shangyu Pterosaur, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Shenzhen 2028, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Yichun Grand Tiger.

Head to head

When they last met (26 May 2026) it ended Shenzhen 2028 4–0 Yichun Grand Tiger.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yichun Grand Tiger 0.7 xG, Shenzhen 2028 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 41%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yichun Grand Tiger 15%, draw 27%, Shenzhen 2028 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Shenzhen 2028 or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • Price worth noting: Shenzhen 2028 to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shenzhen 2028 or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yichun Grand Tiger 0–1 Shenzhen 2028. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yichun Grand Tiger15%fair 6.69 · @3.80
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Shenzhen 202858%fair 1.73 · @1.90
2.31Expected goals
0.70Yichun Grand Tiger xG
1.61Shenzhen 2028 xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: Yichun Grand Tiger 0.7 – 1.6 Shenzhen 2028 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShenzhen 2028 to win ✗58%1.731.90 ▲
Double chanceShenzhen 2028 or draw ✓85%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.68–
Draw no betShenzhen 2028 (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapYichun Grand Tiger +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreShenzhen 2028 to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shenzhen 2028 / FT Shenzhen 2028 ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.26–

Recent results

Yichun Grand Tiger – last 6

DDDLLD
9 Aug@ Guangdong Mingtu0–0D
1 Augvs Jiangxi Liansheng1–1D
25 Jul@ Guangzhou Dandelion0–0D
18 Julvs Hubei Chufeng Heli1–2L
11 Julvs Guizhou Zhucheng0–2L
5 Jul@ Langfang Glory City0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Shenzhen 2028 – last 6

WLWWDD
8 Augvs Shangyu Pterosaur6–0W
1 Aug@ Guizhou Zhucheng0–1L
25 Jul@ Jiangxi Liansheng2–1W
18 Julvs Guangzhou Dandelion3–1W
11 Jul@ Guangdong Mingtu2–2D
5 Jul@ Xiamen Feilu0–0D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 May 2026Shenzhen 2028 v Yichun Grand Tiger4–0
Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028 head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangxi Hengchen221831+3857
2Shenzhen 2028221462+1748
3Chengdu Rongcheng II221246+1940
4Guizhou Zhucheng221237+839
5Guangzhou Dandelion221156+1338
6Wuhan Three Towns II22859+129
7Yichun Grand Tiger22688-626
8Shangyu Pterosaur224117-1023
9Guangdong Mingtu224810-1220
10Hainan Star224711-1619
11Quanzhou Yassin223613-1715
12Guangxi Lanhang230617-376

More League Two predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?

Our pick is Shenzhen 2028 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?

On our numbers Yichun Grand Tiger have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shenzhen 2028 58%.

How many goals will there be in Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?

Our predicted score is Yichun Grand Tiger 0–1 Shenzhen 2028, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028?

Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028 (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wenzhou Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.