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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paide v Vaprus: numbers & prediction

Cup · Estonia · Paide linnastaadion

Paide

LLDWW
2–0
FT

Vaprus

WWLLW
Paide 60%Draw 23%Vaprus 16% Expected goals 2.70 – 1.58
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaide to win ✓60% · @1.40
Double chancePaide or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.55

Paide vs Vaprus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:15 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Paide v Vaprus in the Cup, played at Paide linnastaadion.

Current form

Paide, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tammeka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Vaprus, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kalju Nomme, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Vaprus 3–2 Paide.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paide 2.7 xG, Vaprus 1.6 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 60%, draw 23%, Vaprus 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 2–1 Vaprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paide60%fair 1.66 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.00
Vaprus16%fair 6.13 · @6.00
4.28Expected goals
2.70Paide xG
1.58Vaprus xG
69%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%

From our goals model: Paide 2.7 – 1.6 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaide to win ✓60%1.661.40
Double chancePaide or draw ✓84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.451.50
Draw no betPaide (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapPaide -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
First team to scorePaide to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultPaide ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paide / FT Paide ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.55–

Recent results

Paide – last 6

LLDWWW
1 Mayvs Tammeka0–1L
26 Aprvs Flora Tallinn1–2L
22 Apr@ Laagri2–2D
19 Aprvs Kalju Nomme1–0W
12 Apr@ Tammeka4–1W
8 Aprvs Nõmme United3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vaprus – last 6

WWLLWW
26 Apr@ Kalju Nomme2–1W
21 Apr@ Kuressaare1–0W
8 Apr@ FC Levadia Tallinn1–2L
14 Mar@ Nõmme United1–7L
10 Marvs Tartu Welco2–1W
7 Marvs Paide3–2W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Vaprus v Paide3–2
Paide vs Vaprus head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paide vs Vaprus?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Paide vs Vaprus?

On our numbers Paide have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vaprus 16%.

How many goals will there be in Paide vs Vaprus?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paide vs Vaprus?

Our predicted score is Paide 2–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Paide vs Vaprus?

Paide vs Vaprus (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.