Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.66
Hobart City vs University of Tasmania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hobart City welcome University of Tasmania for a Tasmania Southern Championship fixture on Saturday 4 July (07:30 WAT).
Current form
Hobart City, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with New Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
University of Tasmania, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Olympia Warriors, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Hobart City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for University of Tasmania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hobart City 3.3 xG, University of Tasmania 1.3 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hobart City 73%, draw 14%, University of Tasmania 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hobart City to win (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hobart City 3–1 University of Tasmania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hobart City73%fair 1.37 · @1.25
Draw14%fair 6.96 · @6.00
University of Tasmania13%fair 7.82 · @7.00
4.55Expected goals
3.28Hobart City xG
1.27University of Tasmania xG
57%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
4–05%
From our goals model: Hobart City 3.3 – 1.3 University of Tasmania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hobart City to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Double chance
Hobart City or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Hobart City (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Hobart City -1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
First team to score
Hobart City to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Hobart City ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hobart City / FT Hobart City✓
54%
1.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.66
–
Recent results
Hobart City – last 5
DDWWD
27 Jun
vs New Town
2–2
D
20 Jun
vs Taroona
2–2
D
13 Jun
vs Glenorchy Knights U21
3–1
W
18 Apr
vs Hobart Utd.
5–0
W
13 Mar
@ Glenorchy Knights FC 2
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
University of Tasmania – last 6
LWWLLL
26 Jun
@ Olympia Warriors
2–4
L
21 Jun
@ Clarence Zebras II
4–1
W
13 Jun
@ Hobart Utd.
3–2
W
23 May
@ Taroona
0–10
L
28 Mar
vs Olympia Warriors
3–5
L
14 Mar
vs Hobart Utd.
0–5
L
2.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hobart City and University of Tasmania.
What is the prediction for Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
Our pick is Hobart City to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
On our numbers Hobart City have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 14% and University of Tasmania 13%.
How many goals will there be in Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
Our predicted score is Hobart City 3–1 University of Tasmania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Hobart City vs University of Tasmania?
Hobart City vs University of Tasmania (Tasmania Southern Championship) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania Southern Championship · Australia
