New Town 73%Draw 13%University of Tasmania 14%Expected goals 3.31 – 1.47
95%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.05 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew Town to win ✓73% · @1.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.41
New Town vs University of Tasmania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
05:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: New Town v University of Tasmania in the Tasmania Southern Championship.
Current form
New Town, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Clarence Zebras II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
University of Tasmania, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Taroona, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for University of Tasmania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Town 3.3 xG, University of Tasmania 1.5 xG – a total near 4.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 85% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Town 73%, draw 13%, University of Tasmania 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (95%). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Town 3–1 University of Tasmania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Town73%fair 1.36 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.95 · @11.00
University of Tasmania14%fair 7.15 · @17.00
4.78Expected goals
3.31New Town xG
1.47University of Tasmania xG
60%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–17%
4–16%
3–25%
3–05%
2–25%
From our goals model: New Town 3.3 – 1.5 University of Tasmania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New Town to win✓
73%
1.36
1.07
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
New Town (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
New Town -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
First team to score
New Town to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
New Town ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New Town / FT New Town✓
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.41
–
Recent results
New Town – last 6
WWLDDW
1 Aug
@ Clarence Zebras II
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Glenorchy Knights U21
9–0
W
11 Jul
vs South Hobart II
0–3
L
4 Jul
vs Olympia Warriors
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Hobart City
2–2
D
20 Jun
vs Hobart Utd.
6–3
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
University of Tasmania – last 6
LLLLLW
8 Aug
vs Taroona
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ Glenorchy Knights U21
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ South Hobart II
0–5
L
4 Jul
@ Hobart City
2–5
L
26 Jun
@ Olympia Warriors
2–4
L
21 Jun
@ Clarence Zebras II
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Town and University of Tasmania.
What is the prediction for New Town vs University of Tasmania?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 95% chance.
Who will win New Town vs University of Tasmania?
On our numbers New Town have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 13% and University of Tasmania 14%.
How many goals will there be in New Town vs University of Tasmania?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Town vs University of Tasmania?
Our predicted score is New Town 3–1 University of Tasmania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is New Town vs University of Tasmania?
New Town vs University of Tasmania (Tasmania Southern Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania Southern Championship · Australia
