Value bet: Aris Filiates to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAris Filiates to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.61
Aris Filiates vs Asteras Stavros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 April: Aris Filiates v Asteras Stavros in the Gamma Ethniki Group 3.
Current form
Aris Filiates, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lamia, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Asteras Stavros, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Trikala, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aris Filiates 1.5 xG, Asteras Stavros 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aris Filiates 44%, draw 25%, Asteras Stavros 30%.
Price worth noting: Aris Filiates to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aris Filiates 1–1 Asteras Stavros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aris Filiates44%fair 2.25 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Asteras Stavros30%fair 3.30 · @2.70
2.57Expected goals
1.51Aris Filiates xG
1.06Asteras Stavros xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Aris Filiates 1.5 – 1.1 Asteras Stavros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris Filiates to win✓
44%
2.25
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Aris Filiates (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Asteras Stavros +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Aris Filiates to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris Filiates / FT Aris Filiates✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.61
–
Recent results
Aris Filiates – last 3
DWL
22 Mar
@ Lamia
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Proodos Rogon
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Tilikratis
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Asteras Stavros – last 4
WLLD
22 Mar
@ Trikala
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ A. Schimatari
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Anthoupoli
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Lamia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aris Filiates and Asteras Stavros.
What is the prediction for Aris Filiates vs Asteras Stavros?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Aris Filiates vs Asteras Stavros?
On our numbers Aris Filiates have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Asteras Stavros 30%.
How many goals will there be in Aris Filiates vs Asteras Stavros?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aris Filiates vs Asteras Stavros?
Our predicted score is Aris Filiates 1–1 Asteras Stavros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aris Filiates vs Asteras Stavros?
Aris Filiates vs Asteras Stavros (Gamma Ethniki Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
