Waterhouse 78%Draw 14%Spanish Town Police 7%Expected goals 2.45 – 0.56
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 50% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWaterhouse to win ✓78% · @1.13
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Waterhouse v Spanish Town Police in the Premier League, played at Waterhouse Mini Stadium.
Current form
Waterhouse, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Portmore United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Spanish Town Police, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Mount Pleasant Academy, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Waterhouse, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Spanish Town Police.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Waterhouse 3–0 Spanish Town Police.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterhouse 2.4 xG, Spanish Town Police 0.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterhouse 78%, draw 14%, Spanish Town Police 7%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.45.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterhouse 2–0 Spanish Town Police. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterhouse78%fair 1.27 · @1.13
Draw14%fair 6.93 · @6.25
Spanish Town Police7%fair 14.01 · @17.00
3.01Expected goals
2.45Waterhouse xG
0.56Spanish Town Police xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–012%
3–012%
2–18%
4–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Waterhouse 2.4 – 0.6 Spanish Town Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police?
On our numbers Waterhouse have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Spanish Town Police 7%.
How many goals will there be in Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police?
Our predicted score is Waterhouse 2–0 Spanish Town Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police?
Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Waterhouse Mini Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
