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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Treasure Beach v Tivoli Gardens: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Jamaica · Steths Sports Complex
4–2
FT
Treasure Beach 36%Draw 26%Tivoli Gardens 38% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.37
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultTivoli Gardens to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86

Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Treasure Beach welcome Tivoli Gardens to Steths Sports Complex for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 30 April (21:00 WAT). In the table, Treasure Beach are 13th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Tivoli Gardens are 7th (upper half) with 12.

Current form

Treasure Beach, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Waterhouse, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Tivoli Gardens, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Molynes United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Treasure Beach, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Tivoli Gardens.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Treasure Beach 1.3 xG, Tivoli Gardens 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Treasure Beach 36%, draw 26%, Tivoli Gardens 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treasure Beach 1–1 Tivoli Gardens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Treasure Beach36%fair 2.80 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.90
Tivoli Gardens38%fair 2.64 · @2.50
2.66Expected goals
1.30Treasure Beach xG
1.37Tivoli Gardens xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Treasure Beach 1.3 – 1.4 Tivoli Gardens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTivoli Gardens to win ✗38%2.642.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.80
Draw no betTivoli Gardens (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapTreasure Beach +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreTivoli Gardens to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tivoli Gardens / FT Tivoli Gardens ✗22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.86–

Recent results

Treasure Beach – last 6

WLDDDL
24 Apr@ Waterhouse2–1W
15 Aprvs Chapelton0–3L
30 Mar@ Racing United0–0D
23 Mar@ Spanish Town Police0–0D
18 Marvs Portmore United2–2D
22 Feb@ Dunbeholden2–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tivoli Gardens – last 6

LLLWLL
27 Apr@ Molynes United0–2L
22 Apr@ Montego Bay United1–5L
16 Apr@ Waterhouse0–1L
29 Marvs Harbour View3–2W
25 Marvs Chapelton0–1L
19 Marvs Arnett Gardens0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Treasure Beach and Tivoli Gardens.

Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse9531+1518
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Arnett Gardens9342+513
7Tivoli Gardens9333+512
8Portmore United7241+410
9Cavalier7313-110
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions8026-192

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?

On our numbers Treasure Beach have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tivoli Gardens 38%.

How many goals will there be in Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?

Our predicted score is Treasure Beach 1–1 Tivoli Gardens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?

Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Steths Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.