Value bet: Masr to win @ 2.42 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMasr to win ✓48% · @2.42
Double chanceMasr or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Masr vs El Geish: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Masr v El Geish in the Premier League, played at Arab Contractors Stadium. In the table, Masr are 10th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; El Geish are 14th (lower half) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Masr, last 4: DWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with El Geish, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
El Geish, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Masr, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours El Geish, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Masr.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended El Geish 1–1 Masr.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Masr 1.4 xG, El Geish 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Masr 48%, draw 30%, El Geish 23%.
Lower-risk option: Masr or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Masr to win @2.42 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Masr or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Masr 1–0 El Geish. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Masr48%fair 2.10 · @2.42
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.45
El Geish23%fair 4.40 · @3.75
2.14Expected goals
1.40Masr xG
0.74El Geish xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–012%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Masr 1.4 – 0.7 El Geish expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Masr or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Masr vs El Geish?
On our numbers Masr have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 30% and El Geish 23%.
How many goals will there be in Masr vs El Geish?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Masr vs El Geish?
Our predicted score is Masr 1–0 El Geish, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Masr vs El Geish?
Masr vs El Geish (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arab Contractors Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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