Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWadi Degla to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceWadi Degla or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.89
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 13 April: Ghazl El Mehalla v Wadi Degla in the Premier League, played at El-Gazel Stadium. In the table, Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th, lower half, on 7 points after 8 matches; Wadi Degla are 15th (lower half) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ghazl El Mehalla, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over El Gouna FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Wadi Degla, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pharco, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Wadi Degla, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Ghazl El Mehalla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ghazl El Mehalla 0.8 xG, Wadi Degla 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ghazl El Mehalla 25%, draw 31%, Wadi Degla 44%.
Lower-risk option: Wadi Degla or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Wadi Degla or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Wadi Degla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ghazl El Mehalla25%fair 4.02 · @4.33
Draw31%fair 3.20 · @2.62
Wadi Degla44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
1.87Expected goals
0.77Ghazl El Mehalla xG
1.10Wadi Degla xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ghazl El Mehalla 0.8 – 1.1 Wadi Degla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wadi Degla to win✗
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Wadi Degla or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Wadi Degla (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Ghazl El Mehalla +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Wadi Degla to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wadi Degla / FT Wadi Degla✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.89
–
Recent results
Ghazl El Mehalla – last 4
WLLD
8 Apr
vs El Gouna FC
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Al Ittihad
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Pyramids FC
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Masr
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Wadi Degla – last 6
WLWDDW
8 Apr
vs Pharco
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ El Geish
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs El Geish
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs El Gouna FC
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ El Gouna FC
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Ismaily SC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghazl El Mehalla and Wadi Degla.
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
Our pick is Wadi Degla or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
On our numbers Ghazl El Mehalla have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Wadi Degla 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
Our predicted score is Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Wadi Degla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla?
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Wadi Degla (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at El-Gazel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pharco2
Haras El Hodood1