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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

El Mokawloon v El Gouna FC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Egypt · Arab Contractors Stadium
1–0
FT
El Mokawloon 46%Draw 31%El Gouna FC 23% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.68
77%
Betarazi pick

El Mokawloon or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultEl Mokawloon to win ✓46% · @2.16
Double chanceEl Mokawloon or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.48

El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 8 May the Premier League brings El Mokawloon against El Gouna FC at Arab Contractors Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, El Mokawloon are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; El Gouna FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 3.

Current form

El Mokawloon, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pharco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

El Gouna FC, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Haras El Hodood, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended El Gouna FC 1–1 El Mokawloon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give El Mokawloon 1.2 xG, El Gouna FC 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – El Mokawloon 46%, draw 31%, El Gouna FC 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: El Mokawloon or draw (77%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was El Mokawloon or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Mokawloon 1–0 El Gouna FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

El Mokawloon46%fair 2.17 · @2.16
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @2.55
El Gouna FC23%fair 4.30 · @4.20
1.89Expected goals
1.21El Mokawloon xG
0.68El Gouna FC xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: El Mokawloon 1.2 – 0.7 El Gouna FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEl Mokawloon to win ✓46%2.172.16
Double chanceEl Mokawloon or draw ✓77%1.301.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.53
Draw no betEl Mokawloon (draw no bet) ✓67%1.50–
Asian handicapEl Gouna FC +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.751.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.05–
First team to scoreEl Mokawloon to score first ✓54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT El Mokawloon / FT El Mokawloon ✗28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.48–

Recent results

El Mokawloon – last 6

DDDLWD
4 May@ Pharco1–1D
28 Aprvs Ghazl El Mehalla1–1D
23 Aprvs Al Ittihad0–0D
13 Apr@ National Bank of Egypt1–2L
9 Aprvs Ismaily SC1–0W
6 Apr@ Masr0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

El Gouna FC – last 6

DWWDLD
29 Aprvs Haras El Hodood1–1D
24 Apr@ Pharco1–0W
19 Aprvs Ismaily SC1–0W
14 Apr@ Future FC0–0D
8 Apr@ Ghazl El Mehalla0–1L
30 Mar@ AL Masry2–2D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026El Gouna FC v El Mokawloon1–1
El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC8800+1524
2Al Ahly8620+920
3Zamalek SC8611+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602+718
5Al Ittihad8422+314
6Future FC8413+213
7El Mokawloon8323+311
8National Bank of Egypt8323011
9Smouha SC8323011
10Masr8323-111
11Petrojet8233-29
12AL Masry8233-29
13Olympic El Qanah8152-28
14El Geish8224-68
15Wadi Degla8143-27
16Enppi8215-57
17Ghazl El Mehalla8215-77
18Asyut Petrol8134-46
19Abu Qair Semad8116-94
20El Gouna FC8035-63

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC?

Our pick is El Mokawloon or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC?

On our numbers El Mokawloon have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 31% and El Gouna FC 23%.

How many goals will there be in El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC?

Our predicted score is El Mokawloon 1–0 El Gouna FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC?

El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arab Contractors Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.