Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Adama Kenema vs Negelle Arsi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Negelle Arsi travel to face Adama Kenema on Sunday 5 April in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Adama Kenema are 10th, lower half, on 6 points after 5 matches; Negelle Arsi are 1st (leading the league) with 11.
Current form
Adama Kenema, last 4: LDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arba Minch Kenema, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Negelle Arsi, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mebrat Hayl, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Adama Kenema, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.6 for Negelle Arsi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Adama Kenema 0.8 xG, Negelle Arsi 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Adama Kenema 30%, draw 32%, Negelle Arsi 38%.
Lower-risk option: Negelle Arsi or draw (70%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Negelle Arsi or draw (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adama Kenema 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Adama Kenema30%fair 3.36 · @3.30
Draw32%fair 3.10 · @2.50
Negelle Arsi38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
1.76Expected goals
0.81Adama Kenema xG
0.94Negelle Arsi xG
48%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Adama Kenema 0.8 – 0.9 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✓
38%
2.63
2.30
Double chance
Negelle Arsi or draw✓
70%
1.42
1.29
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.53
Draw no bet
Negelle Arsi (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Adama Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Negelle Arsi to score first
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.13
–
Recent results
Adama Kenema – last 4
LDDW
10 Mar
vs Arba Minch Kenema
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Sheger Ketema
3–3
D
21 Feb
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Negelle Arsi – last 5
LDDLD
15 Mar
vs Mebrat Hayl
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Bahardar
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Kedus Giorgis
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Ethiopia Bunna
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–1
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adama Kenema and Negelle Arsi.
What is the prediction for Adama Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
Our pick is Negelle Arsi or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Adama Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
On our numbers Adama Kenema have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Negelle Arsi 38%.
How many goals will there be in Adama Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adama Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
Our predicted score is Adama Kenema 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Adama Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?
Adama Kenema vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
