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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Bacau v CSM Satu Mare: numbers & prediction

Liga II · Romania
1–3
FT
FC Bacau 61%Draw 23%CSM Satu Mare 16% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.83
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Bacau to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceFC Bacau or draw ✗84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSM Satu Mare travel to face FC Bacau on Friday 10 April in the Liga II – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, FC Bacau are 11th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; CSM Satu Mare are 18th (lower half) with 9.

Current form

FC Bacau, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CSM Reşiţa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

CSM Satu Mare, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Dumbrăviţa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Bacau, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for CSM Satu Mare.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Bacau 1.9 xG, CSM Satu Mare 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Bacau 61%, draw 23%, CSM Satu Mare 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Bacau or draw (84%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Bacau 2–0 CSM Satu Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Bacau61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.60
CSM Satu Mare16%fair 6.41 · @4.50
2.75Expected goals
1.92FC Bacau xG
0.83CSM Satu Mare xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: FC Bacau 1.9 – 0.8 CSM Satu Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Bacau to win ✗61%1.631.67
Double chanceFC Bacau or draw ✗84%1.181.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.70
Draw no betFC Bacau (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapFC Bacau -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreFC Bacau to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultFC Bacau ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Bacau / FT FC Bacau ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

FC Bacau – last 6

LWWWDW
4 Apr@ CSM Reşiţa0–1L
21 Marvs Tunari1–0W
14 Marvs Slatina3–2W
6 Mar@ FC Voluntari2–1W
28 Febvs Gloria Bistriţa1–1D
21 Feb@ Metalul Buzău1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CSM Satu Mare – last 6

WLWLDL
4 Aprvs Dumbrăviţa3–2W
21 Mar@ CSM Reşiţa0–2L
14 Marvs CS Dinamo București2–0W
7 Mar@ Concordia2–4L
28 Febvs Tunari1–1D
21 Feb@ Politehnica Iasi0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Bacau and CSM Satu Mare.

FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare head-to-head page →

Liga II table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chindia Targoviste131003+1930
2FC Politehnica Timisoara13850+1329
3Slatina13913+928
4Popești-Leordeni13832+927
5Concordia13814+1425
6CSM Reşiţa13814+425
7Metalul Buzău13733+624
8Cetatea Suceava13643+822
9Metaloglobus13634+221
10CSM Ramnicu Valcea13625-120
11FC Bacau13544+919
12Bihor Oradea13544+719
13CS Afumati13535-118
14Gloria Bistriţa13607-218
15Unirea Slobozia13427+214
16CSA Steaua Bucureşti13256-711
17ASA Targu Mures13328-1311
18CSM Satu Mare13166-89
19Viitorul Şelimbăr13238-169
20Ştefăneşti133010-209
21CS Dinamo București13229-178
22Dumbrăviţa13049-174

More Liga II predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

On our numbers FC Bacau have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CSM Satu Mare 16%.

How many goals will there be in FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

Our predicted score is FC Bacau 2–0 CSM Satu Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare?

FC Bacau vs CSM Satu Mare (Liga II) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.