Value bet: Gloria Bistriţa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultASA Targu Mures to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60
ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gloria Bistriţa travel to face ASA Targu Mures on Saturday 18 April in the Liga II, with Stadionul Trans-Sil the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, ASA Targu Mures are 17th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Gloria Bistriţa are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
ASA Targu Mures, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Politehnica Iasi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gloria Bistriţa, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CS Dinamo București, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ASA Targu Mures 1.3 xG, Gloria Bistriţa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ASA Targu Mures 38%, draw 26%, Gloria Bistriţa 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Gloria Bistriţa to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Gloria Bistriţa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ASA Targu Mures38%fair 2.62 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Gloria Bistriţa35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
2.61Expected goals
1.27ASA Targu Mures xG
1.34Gloria Bistriţa xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: ASA Targu Mures 1.3 – 1.3 Gloria Bistriţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA Targu Mures to win✗
38%
2.62
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
ASA Targu Mures (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
ASA Targu Mures +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Gloria Bistriţa to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gloria Bistriţa / FT Gloria Bistriţa✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.60
–
Recent results
ASA Targu Mures – last 6
WLWDLW
10 Apr
@ Politehnica Iasi
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Metalul Buzău
1–4
L
21 Mar
vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
6–1
W
14 Mar
@ Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0–0
D
9 Mar
vs Chindia Targoviste
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Metalul Buzău
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gloria Bistriţa – last 6
LWLWWD
10 Apr
vs CS Dinamo București
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Slatina
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs FC Voluntari
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Metalul Buzău
4–1
W
4 Mar
@ Arges Pitesti
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA Targu Mures and Gloria Bistriţa.
What is the prediction for ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
On our numbers ASA Targu Mures have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gloria Bistriţa 35%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our predicted score is ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Gloria Bistriţa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Trans-Sil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.