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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Concordia v CSM Satu Mare: numbers & prediction

Liga II · Romania · Stadionul Concordia
2–2
FT
Concordia 47%Draw 22%CSM Satu Mare 31% Expected goals 1.88 – 1.13
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Concordia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 47% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +44%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultConcordia to win ✗47% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Concordia vs CSM Satu Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

09:00 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Concordia v CSM Satu Mare in the Liga II, played at Stadionul Concordia. In the table, Concordia are 5th, upper half, on 25 points after 13 matches; CSM Satu Mare are 18th (lower half) with 9. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Concordia, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CS Afumati, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

CSM Satu Mare, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tunari, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Concordia 4–2 CSM Satu Mare.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Concordia 1.9 xG, CSM Satu Mare 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Concordia 47%, draw 22%, CSM Satu Mare 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Concordia to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concordia 1–1 CSM Satu Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Concordia47%fair 2.15 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
CSM Satu Mare31%fair 3.22 · @2.15
3.01Expected goals
1.88Concordia xG
1.13CSM Satu Mare xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Concordia 1.9 – 1.1 CSM Satu Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConcordia to win ✗47%2.153.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betConcordia (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapCSM Satu Mare +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.461.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreConcordia to score first59%1.68–
Half-time resultConcordia ahead at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Concordia / FT Concordia ✗34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Concordia – last 6

LWWDWW
2 May@ CS Afumati0–1L
25 Aprvs FC Bacau2–0W
18 Apr@ CSM Reşiţa2–1W
10 Aprvs Tunari1–1D
4 Apr@ Viitorul Şelimbăr2–0W
21 Marvs Dumbrăviţa1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

CSM Satu Mare – last 6

DWWWWL
2 Mayvs Tunari1–1D
25 Apr@ CS Afumati3–1W
18 Aprvs Viitorul Şelimbăr4–0W
10 Apr@ FC Bacau3–1W
4 Aprvs Dumbrăviţa3–2W
21 Mar@ CSM Reşiţa0–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Concordia v CSM Satu Mare4–2
Concordia vs CSM Satu Mare head-to-head page →

Liga II table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chindia Targoviste131003+1930
2FC Politehnica Timisoara13850+1329
3Slatina13913+928
4Popești-Leordeni13832+927
5Concordia13814+1425
6CSM Reşiţa13814+425
7Metalul Buzău13733+624
8Cetatea Suceava13643+822
9Metaloglobus13634+221
10CSM Ramnicu Valcea13625-120
11FC Bacau13544+919
12Bihor Oradea13544+719
13CS Afumati13535-118
14Gloria Bistriţa13607-218
15Unirea Slobozia13427+214
16CSA Steaua Bucureşti13256-711
17ASA Targu Mures13328-1311
18CSM Satu Mare13166-89
19Viitorul Şelimbăr13238-169
20Ştefăneşti133010-209
21CS Dinamo București13229-178
22Dumbrăviţa13049-174

More Liga II predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Concordia vs CSM Satu Mare?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Concordia vs CSM Satu Mare?

On our numbers Concordia have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CSM Satu Mare 31%.

How many goals will there be in Concordia vs CSM Satu Mare?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Concordia vs CSM Satu Mare?

Our predicted score is Concordia 1–1 CSM Satu Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Concordia vs CSM Satu Mare?

Concordia vs CSM Satu Mare (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Concordia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.