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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bate Borisov v Slavia Mozyr: numbers & prediction

Coppa · Belarus · Borisov Arena
2–0
FT
Bate Borisov 22%Draw 23%Slavia Mozyr 56% Expected goals 0.81 – 1.84
78%
Betarazi pick

Slavia Mozyr or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.31 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSlavia Mozyr to win ✗56% · @2.06
Double chanceSlavia Mozyr or draw ✗78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.31
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Bate Borisov v Slavia Mozyr in the Coppa, played at Borisov Arena.

Current form

Bate Borisov, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Minsk, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Slavia Mozyr, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Neman, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Slavia Mozyr, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Bate Borisov.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Slavia Mozyr 0–1 Bate Borisov.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 0.8 xG, Slavia Mozyr 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 22%, draw 23%, Slavia Mozyr 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Slavia Mozyr or draw (78%) at 1.24.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.31.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.31 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Slavia Mozyr or draw (78%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 0–1 Slavia Mozyr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bate Borisov22%fair 4.62 · @3.78
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.10
Slavia Mozyr56%fair 1.80 · @2.06
2.65Expected goals
0.81Bate Borisov xG
1.84Slavia Mozyr xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Bate Borisov 0.8 – 1.8 Slavia Mozyr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bate BorisovSlavia Mozyr
Attack vs Coppa average+1%+7%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-20%
Our expected goals here0.742.54

Our own ratings from every Coppa result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlavia Mozyr to win ✗56%1.802.06 ▲
Double chanceSlavia Mozyr or draw ✗78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.31 ▲
Draw no betSlavia Mozyr (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapSlavia Mozyr -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.501.60 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.711.37
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.09
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSlavia Mozyr to score first ✗65%1.55–
Half-time resultSlavia Mozyr ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slavia Mozyr / FT Slavia Mozyr ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Bate Borisov – last 6

LLWWDL
24 Apr@ FC Minsk0–1L
19 Aprvs ML Vitebsk1–2L
15 Apr@ Slavia Mozyr1–0W
5 Aprvs Baranovichi3–0W
21 Mar@ Neman0–0D
7 Mar@ Torpedo Zhodino0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Slavia Mozyr – last 6

DLLWWW
24 Aprvs Neman0–0D
19 Apr@ FC Gomel1–3L
15 Aprvs Bate Borisov0–1L
5 Apr@ FC Dnepr Mogilev1–0W
15 Mar@ Arsenal2–0W
8 Marvs Arsenal2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Apr 2026Slavia Mozyr v Bate Borisov0–1
Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr head-to-head page →

More Coppa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

Our pick is Slavia Mozyr or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slavia Mozyr 56%.

How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 0–1 Slavia Mozyr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr (Coppa) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.