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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sliema Wanderers v Birkirkara: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Tony Bezzina Stadium
1–0
FT
Sliema Wanderers 43%Draw 28%Birkirkara 29% Expected goals 1.26 – 0.93
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSliema Wanderers to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.07

Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Birkirkara travel to face Sliema Wanderers on Tuesday 14 April in the Premier League, with Tony Bezzina Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Sliema Wanderers are 3rd on 21 points after 12 matches; Birkirkara are 7th with 16.

Current form

Sliema Wanderers, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hibernians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Birkirkara, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Hamrun Spartans, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Birkirkara 1–1 Sliema Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sliema Wanderers 1.3 xG, Birkirkara 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sliema Wanderers 43%, draw 28%, Birkirkara 29%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sliema Wanderers 1–1 Birkirkara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sliema Wanderers43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Birkirkara29%fair 3.50 · @3.10
2.18Expected goals
1.26Sliema Wanderers xG
0.93Birkirkara xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sliema Wanderers 1.3 – 0.9 Birkirkara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSliema Wanderers to win ✓43%2.312.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.60
Draw no betSliema Wanderers (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapBirkirkara +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.591.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.241.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreSliema Wanderers to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sliema Wanderers / FT Sliema Wanderers ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14%7.07–

Recent results

Sliema Wanderers – last 3

DWD
10 Aprvs Hibernians1–1D
21 Feb@ Valletta FC1–0W
17 Feb@ Birkirkara1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Birkirkara – last 6

LWDWLD
8 Mar@ Hamrun Spartans0–3L
4 Marvs Zabbar St. Patrick2–1W
1 Mar@ Naxxar Lions0–0D
25 Febvs Pietà Hotspurs2–0W
21 Febvs Zabbar St. Patrick0–3L
17 Febvs Sliema Wanderers1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026Birkirkara v Sliema Wanderers1–1
Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara?

On our numbers Sliema Wanderers have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Birkirkara 29%.

How many goals will there be in Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara?

Our predicted score is Sliema Wanderers 1–1 Birkirkara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara?

Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.